WMO Predicts Likely Onset of El Niño by Mid-2026
WMO Predicts Likely Onset of El Niño by Mid-2026
US · Published May 15, 2026
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has reported a high likelihood of El Niño conditions developing between May and July
This climate phenomenon, characterized by warming sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific, is expected to influence global weather patterns. According to WMO, there is strong confidence in the onset of El Niño, with potential intensification in the following months. The event could lead to above-normal land surface temperatures globally and significant regional variations in rainfall. El Niño typically occurs every two to seven years and lasts for nine to twelve months, impacting agriculture, water resources, and disaster preparedness worldwide.

Why It's Important?

El Niño events are known to cause extreme weather conditions, including droughts, floods, and heatwaves. Regions such as southern South America, the southern United States, and parts of Africa may experience increased rainfall, while Australia, Indonesia, and southern Asia could face drought conditions. The warming effect of El Niño may also exacerbate the impacts of climate change, leading to more intense weather events. Governments and humanitarian organizations are advised to prepare for potential disruptions to agriculture, water supplies, and disaster response systems.

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